Saturday, May 31, 2014

McLaughlin Pollsters See Possible GOP Tsunami In November

by JASmius

Despite persistent rumors of John Boehner's secret amnesty plotting, despite Ted Cruz's government shutdown "antics," the Big Red Tsunami forecasts just a-keep on a-building:

The nation's undecided voters could bring on a "Republican Senate tsunami" in November, say two Republican strategists, pointing to numbers gathered in surveys their company has been conducting in recent months.

"Can it get worse for the Democrats — a strong double-digit House gain for Republicans and a Republican Senate tsunami?" write pollsters Jim and John McLaughlin in an article for National Review.  "A further analysis of the undecided vote says yes."

They explained that one out of every six voters — or 16% — remains undecided about who will get their votes for Congress. Meanwhile, those same voters disapprove of the job President Barack Obama is doing by 30%-67%.
In addition, they disapprove of ObamaCare by 62% to 29%, and even more, the undecided are saying they want a Republican congressman as a balance against Obama by 42% to 17%.

"The Republicans could take six in ten of these undecided voters and have a national majority vote for Congress of about 52%," the McLaughlins write.

Which means they really aren't all that undecided.

I don't tend to blog about polling much, or at all, outside of election season.  As a blog reader, it's always seemed to me like posts about this poll or that survey in the campaign offseason (if there is such a thing) are what staff bloggers put up on slow news days when there's nothing interesting about which to write.  If you understanding polling like I do - i.e. it's meaningless until we're inside a week of the actual election, and the rest of the time it's just manipulative left-wing psych-ops and propaganda - it'd be even worse.  I would just write a pro forma post once and thereafter just change the dates, candidate and/or issue names, and numbers, because nothing else I would write would differ in the slightest.

So why am I posting about this McLaughlin survey?  Because it reinforces the trend toward an electoral genocide of congressional Democrats this November, driven by the ObamaCare cataclysm, the engineered Obamanomic depression and attendant runaway unemployment, and "liberally" garnished by the burgeoning mound of Regime scandals, of which VA-gate has become the dagger aimed at Barack Obama's heart.

And, yes, also because The One isn't on the ballot.

Could the GOP screw it all up, like they did in 1998 in Bill Clinton's "six year itch" midterm when they demoralized their base by running away from impeachment?  Certainly; their 2014 House counterparts could do the equivalent thing by caving on "comprehensive immigration reform".  But remember that HillaryCare never passed, and so it's destruction of the private health insurance market never became a horrifying reality and political anchor around the necks of congressional Dems four years later.  That's why I maintain that the question isn't whether Republicans retake the Senate and expand their advantage in the House, but by how much they do so.

Judging by the open signs of panic emanating from elected Donks on an almost daily basis anymore, I'm guessing their internal numbers are showing the same thing as those produced by the McLaughlin brothers: an E.L.E. (Extinction Level Election) inbound, like a killer asteroid, that will mow down Democrats like the mythical dinosaurs of old.

If I see plausible polling stories indicating an interruption or derailing of that trend, I'll dutifully post about them here as well.  But this campaign is shaping up as a wet dream even the Stupid Party can't spoil.

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